The 6-3 New England Patriots will host Monday Night Football against the 4-5 Kansas City Chiefs at Gillette Stadium on November 21st, 2011 at 8:30 PM ET.
The line for this game, originated at Bookmaker Sportsbook has the Patriots as 14.5 point favorites with a total of 46 points.
After losing to the Broncos at home, the Kansas City Chiefs will head on to play the Patriots with the challenge of stopping the league’s best ranked passing attack. The Chiefs secondary is not known to be outstanding against the pass, and it ranks 16th overall averaging 230 passing yards per game with 16 touchdowns conceded. The running game is a another aspect that New England can clearly take advantage of, as Kansas City ranks 26th defending the run, and surrenders 134 yards per game on the ground.
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Kansas City ranks 28th in the league in total offense. They are moderately successful running the ball averaging 124.4 yards per game; however against the Patriots the running game can become meaningless pretty fast if you get behind the scoreboard. It appears that ultimately Kansas City’s chances for this game will fall on Matt Cassel’s hands to lead a 27th ranked passing attack, which merely gets 182.2 passing yards per game. The good news is that New England ranks dead last defending the pass and surrenders 308 passing yards per game.
Kansas City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City’s last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 6 games on the road
Kansas City is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing New England
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 6 games when playing New England
Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 5 games when playing on the road against New England
Kansas City is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New England
New England is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England’s last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 15 of New England’s last 20 games
New England is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New England’s last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England’s last 6 games when playing Kansas City
New England is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
New England is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England’s last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
While Kansas City’s chances of winning this one are slim to none, they will certainly try and hurt New England by targeting their pretty bad secondary, and this should lead to scoring opportunities for them. Considering New England will put up points, this should be a high scoring game fit for national television. Bet the over.
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