The 2-1 New England Patriots will travel across the country to face the also 2-1 Oakland Raiders at the Coliseum this Sunday October 2nd, 2011 at 4:15 PM ET.
The line for this game is available at BetOnline Sportsbook and has the Patriots as 4.5 point favorites with a total of 55 for this game.
Sunday’s game matches the NFL’s top passing offense, led by Tom Brady’s 442.3 yards per game, against the No. 1 rushing attack with Darren McFadden, who leads the league with 131 yards per game. The Patriots however also rank dead last defending against the pass with 377 yards per game, with Oakland not far ahead at 28th, averaging 289.7 yards per game. Both teams combined have allowed 12 passing touchdowns this season.
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The Patriots however rank 10th overall defending against the run; however they face their biggest challenge yet trying to contain Darren McFadden, which should also lead to plenty of man to man coverage, and with a secondary that is struggling should create plenty of opportunities for Jason Campbell to find Denarius Moore, and possibly Jacoby Ford.
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BETTING TRENDS:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England’s last 5 games
New England is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
New England is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England’s last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England’s last 9 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oakland’s last 7 games
Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Oakland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland’s last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oakland’s last 9 games when playing New England
Oakland is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New England
Oakland will certainly pound the ball on the ground, as any team playing the Patriots would do in order to neutralize Tom Brady; however they cannot be one dimensional against a team that often plays with an early lead. This game certainly has shootout potential and plenty of scoring is obvious. At the end of the day, we believe the Patriots will be able to win this one and cover the spread.
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